As of Dec. 18, 2023, ethereum exhibits a complex interplay of bearish and bullish signals across various technical indicators. The second-leading crypto asset, currently priced at $2,125 to $2,165, faces a critical juncture in its market trajectory, as revealed by the 4-hour and daily charts, oscillators, and moving averages.
Ethereum
The 4-hour chart analysis for ethereum (ETH) paints a predominantly bearish picture, characterized by a distinct downtrend. This trend is evident through the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a classic indicator of bearish momentum. Despite a recent uptrend at a potential short-term reversal, the overarching downward trend suggests this could be a mere temporary pause. For investors considering short positions, the $2,235 per ETH price level emerges as a key resistance point to watch.
In contrast, the daily chart provides a more expansive view of ether’s price movements, encompassing a broader historical context. Previously, ethereum enjoyed an uptrend, peaking around $2,407, before succumbing to the current downtrend. The break below the crucial support level of $2,100 underscores a strong bearish sentiment. This longer-term perspective is essential for investors seeking to identify potential entry points for both short and long-term positions.
Ethereum chart by TradingView
Oscillators, often used to gauge market momentum and potential reversals, present a mixed outlook. The relative strength index (RSI) at 47.6, along with the Stochastic, commodity channel index (CCI), average directional index (ADI), and awesome oscillator, all hover in neutral to bearish territory. These indicators suggest a market in flux, with no clear directional bias, adding complexity to investment decision-making.
Moving averages (MAs), which help identify trends and potential reversals over various timeframes, also exhibit a dichotomy. Short-term moving averages, like the 10-day and 20-day exponential and simple moving averages (EMAs and SMAs), signal negative sentiment, indicative of immediate bearish pressure. Conversely, longer-term averages, such as the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs and SMAs, advise a positive outlook, reflecting a potential shift in the longer-term trend.
The confluence of these indicators suggests that ether’s market is in a delicate balance. The bearish signals from the 4-hour chart and short-term moving averages are counterbalanced by the bullish outlook in the longer-term moving averages. This situation calls for a cautious approach, particularly for those considering long positions, as the market’s bearish tilt remains a significant factor.
Bull Verdict:
Despite the current bearish indicators on the 4-hour chart and short-term moving averages, the bull verdict for ethereum as of Dec. 18, 2023, hinges on the strength of the longer-term moving averages and the historical resilience of the asset. The neutral positioning of oscillators like the RSI and ADI suggests a potential for trend reversal — if the market can sustain above key support levels and breach the resistance near.
Bear Verdict:
The bearish verdict for ether, based on the same data from Dec. 18, 2023, is primarily driven by the persisting downward trend on the 4-hour chart and the bearish indications from short-term moving averages. The failure to break above the key resistance level of $2,235 and the recent trend of lower highs and lower lows point towards continued bearish dominance. Unless there’s a significant shift in market sentiment or a breakout above crucial resistance levels, the bearish trend is likely to prevail.
